Tuesday, September 10, 2013

Revisiting Pre-Spring Training NL Predictions

We are into the last 3 weeks of the season.  Time to see how the pre-season predictions are faring.  At first glance...I would say I was relatively accurate...

Prediction NL East
Washington
Atlanta
Philadelphia
New York
Miami

Hmmm.  Not too bad.  Flip ATL and WAS and I am spot-on.  Strasburg has not been the magic bullet they had hoped.  The Chipper replacement has fared pretty well leading the league in average for parts of the season.  Atlanta's young pitchers have proven that they are the real thing and they have more than challenged WAS this year.  First place with two guys hitting around the Mendoza line is pretty impressive.

Prediction NL Central
St. Louis
Cincinnati
Pittsburgh
Milwaukee
Chicago

Let's revisit a quote from my prediction, "I expect St. Louis to win the division with 90 wins - that means that Cincinnati and Pittsburgh will be close until the last week of the season".  That is not all that far off.  There are about 18 games remaining and the Cardinals have 83 wins at this point.  The team to win the NL Central will need a little more than 90 to win the division, but they are all super close.  I think that all three teams will finish up about the same.  Meaning that 93 wins might take the Central flag with the other two teams nipping at their heels.  CIN and PIT are flipped for now...but that still has a chance to "right itself".

Prediction NL West
Los Angeles
San Francisco
Arizona
Colorado
San Diego

To say that LA has ran away with this division is amazing considering how bad they were in the first 2 months.  San Fran has collapsed.  Their pitching was not able to even come close to repeating 2012.  Really sad to see a team go from first to last...but then again, I was getting a little tired of the Giants...so maybe not that sad for me.  There is a three team race in the West...but it is for last place.  Currently the order is San Diego / Colorado / San Francisco...but that can change in one game.

See the entire predictions here
Also, see the AL predictions here.

Serge

No comments: